NetApplications shows quite a pop for GNU/Linux in May/June 2008, advancing from 0.68% to 0.80%, 17% growth in one month, 70% in one year. Of course the numbers seem heavily weighted towards North America/Europe, showing MacOS over 7% (units shipped are about 3%, globally, for Apple), but the growth is real in that market. Imagine what it must be in the rest of the world where large sections are not locked-in to that other OS.
What makes June so special? Second quarter? High rates of IT acquisition? Fresh grads? Realization that Vista is dead for business? It could be all of these factors, but I suspect that NetApplications is weighted to business sites so the hardware/software refreshes of businesses could be a big factor. We know 50% of businesses are giving GNU/Linux a close look for the desktop. Some are adopting. A lot are adopting, apparently.
Conversely, that other OS has lost 2.4% of its loyal following in the past year and MacOS has gained only 30%.
Vista is going on about 10 million machines per month and only about half of them were running XP. That means Vista has been replacing a lot of old versions more than XP. The world is creating about 25 million new machines each month, so Vista is not making it. When XP is killed, will Vista get a pop? Let us wait for July’s numbers. Steve Ballmer’s job may depend on them. I expect GNU/Linux will get a pop. The June pop may have been early adopters.

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